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Оценка влияния конфронтации между США и Ираном на безопасность Ближнего Востока

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Код статьи
S207054760011667-0-
DOI
10.18254/S207054760011667-0
Тип публикации
Статья
Статус публикации
Опубликовано
Авторы
Бобкин Николай Николаевич
Том/ Выпуск
Том / Выпуск № 3
Страницы
0
Аннотация

Основное содержание исследования составляет анализ политики администрации Д. Трампа в отношении иранского режима. Выделяются и описываются ключевые события в противостоянии, скрываются причины обострения конфронтации и приводится анализ её последствий для безопасности Ближнего Востока. Обосновывается вывод о том, что причиной обострения отношений стал односторонний выход США из СВПД. Сделано заключение, что политика «максимального давления» не изменила иранское поведение, Иран в состоянии выдержать воздействие санкций и вернуться к ядерным исследованиям с военными целями. Показано, что эскалация напряжённости с Ираном является главной причиной серьёзного ущерба для отношений между США и их европейскими союзниками. Значительное внимание уделено анализу международной реакции и последствиям убийства генерала Сулеймани. По мнению автора, риски войны очевидны, однако после сдержанной реакции администрации Д. Трампа на иранские ракетные удары по базам США в Ираке, не представляются неизбежными. Несмотря на то, что сторонники жёсткой линии доминируют как в Вашингтоне, так и в Тегеране, и доверие полностью разрушилось, ни одна из сторон не хочет войны.

Ключевые слова
Иран, администрация Д. Трампа, СВПД, КСИР, убийство генерала Сулеймани, Ирак, Персидский залив
Дата публикации
25.09.2020
Год выхода
2020
Всего подписок
25
Всего просмотров
3220

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